24th April 2024 - 5 min read
StashAway has announced that it will be re-optimising its clients’ portfolios to take advantage of the new shift in the macroeconomic environment, as it moves from a state of stagflation to inflationary growth. This will involve several adjustments, including an increased allocation to growth assets and the introduction of new exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
In its notice to customers, StashAway explained that the global economy has seen some recovery since it last conducted a re-optimisation exercise back in December 2022. Among other things, manufacturing activity has gradually recovered and returned to positive growth, while inflation has eased off from its peak (although it still remains relatively high as compared to previous recorded rates).
Consequently, this has prompted StashAway to revise the position of the market in its proprietary investment framework ERAA, noting that it has moved from the Stagflation regime back to the Inflationary Growth regime. This essentially refers to a circumstance where “inflation remains high and growth is both positive and on an upwards trend”.
As such, StashAway is re-optimising its clients’ portfolios to tap into the opportunities that may be found in this new regime, which would involve several key changes. Note, however, that these changes will only apply to StashAway’s General Investing, Thematic, and Responsible Investing portfolios; the BlackRock-powered General Investing portfolios are excluded from this exercise.
Chief of all, clients can expect to see increased allocations to growth assets, as detailed below:
Assets | Changes |
Equities | – Increased allocation in equities across all portfolios – Equities tend to pose lower risk during Inflationary Growth regime, and offer better returns, comparatively |
Bonds | Increased allocation in high-yield and emerging market bonds |
Ultra-short US Treasuries | Reduced allocation in ultra-short-dated US Treasury bonds, particularly for lower-risk portfolios |
Gold | – Reduced allocation in gold in most portfolios – That said, ERAA believes that the asset can outperform its market benchmark, benefitting from falling real interest rates |
In addition to this, StashAway said that it is also adding three new ETFs to portfolios to enhance the way they gain exposure to the US and India, focusing specifically on these specific areas:
New ETFs | Details/Justification |
Equal-weight S&P 500 ETF | – The S&P is currently heavily concentrated in stocks with the highest market capitalisation, such as the Magnificent Seven (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Meta, and Tesla) – An equal-weight S&P 500 ETF is added to mitigate this concentration risk and to maintain a well-diversified exposure to the US market |
ETFs in US defence and aerospace | – Introduced to hedge against ongoing geopolitical conflict – Includes many industrial companies, and can perform well in a regime of stronger economic growth |
ETFs with exposure to India | – StashAway’s ERAA sees growth potential in India, and is therefore introducing an ETF to target direct exposure to the country, instead of using an emerging markets grouping. |
As mentioned earlier, investors will see an increase in allocation for equities (as a growth asset) following this re-optimisation exercise. Complementing this move is also StashAway’s decision to move its Japan equity exposure to a new ETF with a lower expense ratio. Specifically, the current iShares MSCI Japan ETF (with a 0.5% expense ratio) will be replaced by the JPMorgan BetaBuilders Japan ETF (with a 0.19% expense ratio).
On top of that, higher-risk portfolios will feature increased exposure to India, with up to 3% additional allocation. Meanwhile, ERAA is maintaining an equal-weight exposure in China because it believes that the region may experience a positive shift in the future despite its current stagnated economic growth.
Aside from that, there will also be changes in equity allocations sector-wise. StashAway will pare back allocations to healthcare, increasing it for consumer and industrial sectors instead. Additionally, ERAA is maintaining its market weight in the tech sector as advances in AI are likely to continue driving performance for tech over the longer term.
For lower-risk portfolios, the weightage to higher-yielding bonds will be increased. This refers to bonds from the industrial sector and from emerging markets. StashAway said that this positions investors for optimised returns while keeping risk levels in check.
As for Thematic portfolios, the following changes will be made for the Technology Enablers and Future of Consumer Tech portfolios, specifically:
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StashAway reiterated that this re-optimisation will be carried out automatically, and investors are not required to do anything. It also comes at no additional cost to them.
“All in all, this re-optimisation sets up your portfolios to benefit from a new regime of higher growth. But macroeconomic conditions are always shifting – it’s why we built ERAA to ensure that your portfolios are managed for each stage of the economic cycle. Our framework will continue to monitor the data, and guide our allocations,” StashAway stated, adding that it will continue to keep investors informed.
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